it has very rapidly become clear that catching trends is more profitable (currently) than my old proven method of increasing/decreasing bets. more importantly, it needs less investment to begin with, to generate the same amount of profit. at least it’s my way of catching trends which shows promise.. there are definitely other ways of doing it which i’m not testing. the currently applied method i have borrowed from my countless computer simulations on trying to make profit on casino roulette — there it doesn’t work, it’s mathematically impossible. on forex however, even if the trends are short living and rare, in any meaningful sense, it is still enough to generate profit overcoming spreads. that’s my first impression, which may change. i got so curious about it now that i stopped the method of increasing/decreasing bets, continuing now on both trading platforms with the strategy of catching trends.
i’m still on the same level, close to 20% in negative, because i decreased my investment level several times for now — it is not wise to bet high when i’m not sure about the formulas which i’m currently using (testing), about how they perform on forex in a long term.. thus, even if i’m recovering losses it will take much longer than i accumulated the losses. my main goal is to come out of the negative balance with whatever strategy works on current market conditions, thus i’m not opening new trading accounts. i must rely on my experience and not to discard any failed tests as irrelevant.. therefore i change strategies as soon as i see the limitations of applied strategies on any given moment depending on market conditions.
i know what my increasing/decreasing formulas do in long term — i don’t need to prove them for myself, spending more years on learning the same thing. i need to adapt rapidly to any given market conditions to generate profit faster, and if a formula produces losses then to apply other formulas which suit better at the time. that’s more interesting too than making the same calculations over and over — it’s kind of reading the market’s behavior through the numbers, not guessing the market behavior by news or generally known global developments.
in fact i’m correcting and changing my strategies right now so frequently (as you have obviously noticed already) that i see no need to bother describing the changes in the blog anymore. the general principles of my strategies have been described.. i’m using them in different combinations trying to figure out the best configuration in any given moment.. which may or may not lead to a permanent compiled strategy. when i’ll publish the whole trading history of my current test on both mt4 and mt5 platforms, after getting into positive balance, then you can see for yourself what was going on.
so much i can tell that while i decided in favor of learning more about and testing the strategy of catching trends on both platforms, i balanced out again the currency pairs on each trading platform and reversed positions between the platforms. this is necessary to ensure that if the strategy works then it should work on both platforms, not being just a luck, a result of current market conditions turning out favoritely for me.
if you’re curious about how it all will end then just be patient.. one day i’ll publish the complete trading history of the current test on both trading platforms, and perhaps include it in the updated version of the book as well. the trading history of the current test may become thousands of pages long, thus including it in the book in full length may not be the best idea – i may publish it as a separate document to those who are interested to analyse my trading strategies deeper.