gambling on stock market

dangerous mathematics.

the best way to protect against accidents while knowing some secrets, is to make these secrets public. i’ve done it with my mathematical methods for roulette and now i’m doing it for stock market. the method can in principle be applied for any financial products. stock market is gambling like many casino games, just it sounds more serious, but like on roulette the random fluctuations are unpredictable. applying any technical analysis is no different from ‘guessing’ probabilities for roulette outcome. basically, throwing away all bs and analytical tools (you don’t need them), all you need to know is that there are only two ways for the market to move — up and down and nobody can predict the next move — thus even hedging between different products with similar sums of money will amount to nothing, just matter of time when you lose everything you earned and invested. an exception is fundamental analysis, which isn’t gambling. in any case you pay for every transaction the price of the spread, which is in principle the same as house edge on roulette. to cover the spread and to make profit you need to increase the amount of your orders or ‘bets’ (lots, mini lots, ..) each time you lose specific amount of allocated money and decrease the sum of your orders (allocate less money) each time you win (take profit which is no less than your allowed loss, using stop-loss if necessary), on each product separately, plus you must restart with minimum bets on all the products (close all positions and open new ones with your minimum) each time you have reached the last maximum total balance on your account. that’s it. everything else is useless. well, you also need to know how exactly — how big steps to take, how many products to gamble with, etc., but it depends on your financial capacity and running expenses (for example the minimum on stock market isn’t the same minimum as on roulette, where it’s the absolute minimum allowed — on stock market the minimum must be calculated to cover your expenses in case if for a long time you continue without losses and thus be staying on your minimum amount you’re betting with) and the maximum realistically possible volatility of a specific product you’re gambling on. also you should hedge your risks of course, but not in the same sense as traditional hedging — you need to increase and decrease your sums depending on your total gains and losses, inversely. in which direction market goes does not matter — you simply quit with specific loss or win, increase/decrease your bets accordingly, and enter into any other reasonably volatile product, not to waste your time (betting in whatever direction, but preferably only long, for known reasons, except forex – there it doesn’t matter). in average (daily, monthly, depending on using robots and/or standing/pending orders or doing it manually with market orders only) you will always be in positive (making profit) if there aren’t any huge market crashes, against which isn’t protected anyone. any ‘regular’ sudden huge moves of the market are covered because there are always smaller fluctuations, during which you exit and enter with recalculated bets, depending on profits and losses. as simple as that.


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